
Attribution: This picture isoriginally from The New Republic article linked to in this post.
Today I read a great article by Michael Crowley titled Our man in Kabul? which appeared in the March edition of The New Republic.
The article is the typical highbrow journalism that you see in publications like The New Republic, or The Atlantic. It talks about a complex issue, in this case the United States government using an Afghan warlord named Gulbuddin Hekmatyar to accomplish a set of goals, in a way that showcases (rather than ignoring) the complicatedness of the situation.
A bit about Hekmatyar. He is a ruthless scary ass dude who seems to be totally willing to do anything and/or sacrifice anything to gain power. And when I say “anything” I mean any-fucking-thing. For real.
Case in point: The United States has hooked this guy up during the cold war. His ruthlessness made him a valued and effective proxy to use against the Soviets.
After the Soviets completed their withdrawal in 1989, Hekmatyar expected to rule the country. But so did other mujahedin leaders, and vicious fighting ensued. From 1992 to 1994, the Afghan capital became a battleground as Hekmatyar, still in possession of a U.S.-supplied arsenal, wantonly shelled the city. “He was sitting in the suburbs of Kabul, and he was sending rockets, regardless of where they would land. Thousands of Afghans died,” says Ali Jalali, who served as Afghanistan’s interior minister from 2003 to 2005. (In a strange historical footnote, one rocket struck a compound where Hamid Karzai was being held captive by political rivals, allowing him to escape and then flee the country.) “We have already had one and a half million martyrs,” Hekmatyar remorselessly explained in 1992. “We are ready to offer as many to establish a true Islamic republic.” But the Afghan people disagreed. Hekmatyar’s brutality marginalized him, and he was no match for the anti-warlord Taliban movement. Unable to hold his ground militarily when the Taliban stormed Kabul in 1996, Hekmatyar fled to Iran.
i.e. this guy made the Taliban look reasonable. That’s saying something.
Clearly the kind of guy you would expect to be on the list of people that the Obama administration (or any administration for that mater) would never want to deal with right? Think again. Despite the fact that Hekmatyar is a madman perfectly ready and willing to sacrifice every drop of Afghan blood in return for power, he has something going for him that power brokers seem to like. He is for sale.
Obama administration officials don’t expect to crush the Afghan insurgency militarily. The current U.S. surge aims to turn the momentum of the war and then attempt a political “reconciliation” with elements of the insurgency. The effort will be aimed primarily at low-level combatants and local leaders who fight more for money and parochial reasons than for grand ideology. Senior insurgent leaders, like the Haqqanis and top Quetta Shura Taliban members, are probably just too fanatical to deal with. But Hekmatyar is another story. During the Afghan civil war, he was notorious for casually shifting allegiances, even if it meant allying with blood rivals. “This is a man who has switched sides his whole life,” says the Brookings Institution’s Bruce Riedel, who led the Obama administration’s first Afghanistan review.)
The United States has tried to use Hekmatyar as a tool in the past. He helped to keep the world “safe” from the Russians. But doing business with someone like Hekmatyar has a high moral cost. Truth be told, it has a high economic cost as well, and I’m not sure that the United States will ever fully pay off the debt it incurred by working with the likes of Hekmatyar.
This article makes its readers confront a few difficult questions:
Where do we draw the line?
How much is the United States government, and its military, willing to gamble?
Can doing a deal with “the devil” help to accomplish a “greater good”?
All good questions to ask. All difficult questions to answer.
Something to think about over the weekend.
[[Further reading: Man Versus Afghanistan by Robert D. Kaplan.]]
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